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Macro·Bar·16 Jun 2026

The energy ledger has structurally flipped

Argentina energy + mining trade balance (USD bn), from deficit to projected surplus

Source INDEC; BCRA; Ministerio de Economía (January 2026). Primary Argentina source videos: https://youtu.be/JsSLSllJYMw?is=4x2tcBsbqAsFBbma; https://youtu.be/LUu2D6fy640?is=DHF5EipLtKftbMEe.

Macro·Bar·16 Jun 2026

The most closed major economy in the world

Trade (exports + imports) as % of GDP — Argentina's ratio is anomalously low for a resource-rich economy

Source World Bank WDI; INDEC 2025; Daza remarks at Fitch On Argentina, June 2026. Primary Argentina source videos: https://youtu.be/JsSLSllJYMw?is=4x2tcBsbqAsFBbma; https://youtu.be/LUu2D6fy640?is=DHF5EipLtKftbMEe.

Macro·Line·29 May 2026

Working-Age Populations Are Diverging, Not Ageing Equally

Working-age population index (2000 = 100), ages 15–64 — historical to 2024, projected to 2050 (UN medium variant)

Source United Nations World Population Prospects 2024 (medium variant); World Bank World Development Indicators (SP.POP.1564.TO); OECD Population and Labour Force Projections

Method Historical data (2000–2024) anchored to World Bank and OECD demographic series. Forward trajectories based on the UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium-variant scenario. Indexed to 2000 = 100 for cross-country comparability. Values are for analytical illustration and do not represent absolute population levels.

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